After almost eleven months of conflict, stretching all of the way lower back to Abu Dhabi on the start of the year, we sooner or later arrive at the season’s finale in Dubai.
Collin Morikawa heads the Race to Dubai by using a little over 2 hundred factors from Billy Horschel, with the absent Jon Rahm in third vicinity. There’s clean water between that trio and the chasing p.c., headed by using Tyrrell Hatton, but with 12,000 points in total up for grabs this week across the field and 2,000 points to the winner, as to who simply wins the general name might be determined by way of this week’s end result. The top two have a clear gain although and it’d take some thing unique for someone beneath that to win – full permutations are right here.
As is the European Tour’s – soon to be DP World Tour’s – wont, the qualification standards for this week’s event has mutated another time this yr, with the top 50 to be had gamers from the Race to Dubai in attendance, plus there are invites for each Sergio Garcia and Patrick Reed. With the aforementioned Jon Rahm, Viktor Hovland and Justin Rose all lacking, plus JB Hansen getting a spot courtesy of his win remaining week which probably trumps the fact that he clearly made it into the top 50 besides due to that victory, James Morrison in 54th spot gets a begin in line with the entry listing. So that’s the pinnacle fifty one then plus another 2, but who am I to question the logic so allow’s roll with that.
Of direction, having the sector #1 pass this event for the second yr jogging is a real hammer blow for the Tour, and Viktor Hovland’s omission is likewise a disgrace, however we’re nonetheless left with an brilliant area, headed by using Rory McIlroy at 6/1 and Collin Morikawa at 15/2.
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Earth Course, Jumeirah Golf Estates, Dubai, UAE. Designer: Greg Norman, 2009; Par: seventy two; Length: 7,675 yards; Fairways: Bermuda; Rough: Bermuda/Rye; Greens: TifEagle Bermuda; Stimp: 12’6″.
Course Overview. As ever, the venue for the DP World Tour Championship is the Greg Norman-designed Earth Course.
The music is a monster at 7,675 yards with 2 of the par-5s measuring over 620 yards, the hard par-four 9th which is 3 toes quick of 500 yards, plus the 195 yard par-3 seventeenth which plays to an island green.
Greens are big, undulating Bermudagrass which measure 12’6″ on the stimp when dry and company and, as usually, aren’t to every participant’s liking.
Tournament Stats. We’ve published a few key player data for this week’s DP World Tour Championship with the intention to help to shape a view on gamers who traditionally play well at this occasion Tournament Form published Predictor Model is to be had right here. As usually you may construct your personal version using the variables available.
Winners & Prices. 2020: Matthew Fitzpatrick, 16/1; 2019: Jon Rahm, 7/1; 2018: Danny Willett, eighty/1; 2017: Jon Rahm, 12/1; 2016: Matthew Fitzpatrick, sixty six/1; 2015: Rory McIlroy, 5/1; 2014: Henrik Stenson, 17/2; 2013: Henrik Stenson, eleven/1; 2012: Rory McIlroy, 6/1; 2011: Alvaro Quiros, forty/1; 2010: Robert Karlsson, 50/1.
Weather Forecast. The trendy weather forecast for Dubai is here.
For the four days of match play we have to see dry and sunny conditions with temperatures peaking within the mid-80s Fahrenheit observed by using mild to moderate winds, accomplishing 10-15mph within the afternoons.
Tournament Trends & Key Factors. Analysing the very last stats of latest winners gives us a touch greater perception into the kind of participant desirable here:2020, Matthew Fitzpatrick (-15). three hundred yards (sixteenth), 76.eight% fairways (1st), seventy six.four% greens in regulation (7th), 1.70 putts according to GIR (fifth)2019, Jon Rahm (-19). 315 yards (8th), 67.9% fairways (8th), 87.5% veggies in law (1st), 1.65 putts in line with GIR (1st)2018, Danny Willett (-18). 302 yards (sixteenth), 71.four% fairways (twelfth), eighty one.nine% veggies in law (third), 1.sixty four putts according to GIR (1st)2017, Jon Rahm (-19). 313 yards (4th), sixty six.1% fairways (twenty second), seventy seven.8% vegetables in regulation (26th), 1.sixty four putts in step with GIR (3rd)2016, Matthew Fitzpatrick (-17). 298 yards (16th), eighty.4% fairways (4th), seventy seven.eight% vegetables in regulation (twenty first), 1.65 putts according to GIR (second)2015, Rory McIlroy (-21). 322 yards (1st), 62.5% fairways (thirty seventh), 83.3% greens in law (4th), 1.sixty seven putts in keeping with GIR (4th)2014, Henrik Stenson (-sixteen). 310 yards (second), eighty two.1% fairways (2nd), eighty three.three% vegetables in law (4th), 1.75 putts in keeping with GIR (sixteenth)2013, Henrik Stenson (-25). three hundred yards (seventh), 89.three% fairways (1st), ninety four.4% veggies in law (1st), 1.seventy one putts in step with GIR (eighth)2012, Rory McIlroy (-23). 301 yards (second), seventy three.2% fairways (22nd), sixty nine.4% greens in regulation (47th), 1.fifty four putts in step with GIR (1st)2011, Alvaro Quiros (-19). 311 yards (1st), fifty three.6% fairways (55th), eighty three.three% greens in regulation (4th), 1.68 putts in keeping with GIR (7th)2010, Robert Karlsson (-14). 298 yards (fifth), seventy six.8% fairways (20th), seventy seven.8% veggies in regulation (twelfth), 1.63 putts in step with GIR (1st)2009, Lee Westwood (-23). 298 yards (8th), eighty five.7% fairways (7th), ninety one.7% greens in regulation (1st), 1.sixty eight putts in keeping with GIR (fifth)
Up till Matt Fitzpatrick’s win in 2016, you could have argued with a few conviction that duration off the tee was pretty an awful lot a pre-considered necessary right here on the Earth Course. From Lee Westwood in 2009 through to Rory McIlroy in 2015, each winner had ranked in the top-8 for Driving Distance on the week and on 4 activities the winner was inside the top-2 for distance off the tee.
Now Fitzpatrick isn’t long through any stretch, but he has shown an ability to carry out on longer tracks (a win at the Nordea Masters and seventh at Augusta spring to mind) and perhaps that’s definitely the key thing in not being intimidated by means of the period here. More average duration drivers can perform properly – Ian Poulter, for example, has a decent file right here, as has Francesco Molinari – but shorter players want to make up for that handicap with an notable performance from tee-to-inexperienced.
The maximum regular statistic from the winners exact above, aside from tee-to-green overall performance, has been putting on these Bermudagrass greens. Henrik Stenson’s win in 2014 saw him rank 16th within the discipline for placing average that’s the worst on display – certainly each Jon Rahm and Danny Willett crowned that stat when proving effective in 2018 and 2019, whereas Matt Fitzpatrick changed into 5th on that be counted final yr.